Climate Change Update October 2017

When I wrote on the Paris accord I expressed grave doubts that the various countries would honour their commitments let alone produce the further emission savings which would be found necessary when these commitments had all been analysed. Studies had shown that the maximum CO2 emissions compatible with limiting global warming to 1.5°C from 1870… Continue reading Climate Change Update October 2017

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Global/RSA Climate Outlook

The latest forecast from The International Research Institute (IRI) for Climate and Society at Columbia University’s Earth Institute is considerably changed from that in my last blog on the subject. In particular sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the eastern tropical Pacific have cooled to La Niña threshold levels while conditions in the mid and western… Continue reading Global/RSA Climate Outlook

Southern Africa Drought, Dam Levels, Outlook August 2017

My 23 June blog on this topic emphasised that despite the decline in the El Niño there was little indication of a La Niña developing (except for the forecast of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography of the University of California, San Diego). In its July update the International Research Institute for Climate and Society of… Continue reading Southern Africa Drought, Dam Levels, Outlook August 2017

Southern Africa Climate, Outlook and Dam Levels Update May 2017

The northern part of the region has moved into its dry season with a fairly sharp cutoff in our Gauteng province but with Free State dam levels looking good after above average summer rains. In the water short southern parts rains have not set in sufficiently to impact significantly on dam levels. Columbia University’s International… Continue reading Southern Africa Climate, Outlook and Dam Levels Update May 2017