Western Cape Drought, Southern Africa Dam Levels January 2018

I have been blogging repeatedly about the Western Cape drought because the crisis has been long looming. Attention is now concentrated on drawing up the plans for when the taps run dry. This article looks at the position of the Southern Africa dams and then at the Western Cape premier's comments on the situation. plus… Continue reading Western Cape Drought, Southern Africa Dam Levels January 2018

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Global Warming Update January 2018

Historically record world surface temperatures have been associated with the  El Niño phenomenon due to the higher eastern Pacific ocean temperatures. The recent move to weak La Niña  conditions was therefore expected to provide some relief. However the reduction in temperature in 2017 was less than had been anticipated. Exactly how 2017 ranks depends on… Continue reading Global Warming Update January 2018

El Niño, La Niña and Climate Change December 2017

The latest forecast from The International Research Institute (IRI) for Climate and Society at Columbia University’s Earth Institute is initially startling compared to the one from two months ago in that it applies a 98% probability to an ongoing La Niña situation for the Nov-Dec-Jan period, with a neutral situation only becoming the most likely situation… Continue reading El Niño, La Niña and Climate Change December 2017

South Africa Drought and Climate October 2017

The Western Cape water crisis continues unabated. The following graph indicates how this year’s rainfall (red line) is now trending well below that of 2016 (purple line), with 1994 (lowest feint blue line) being the only year where the plot approximates 2016 or 2017. This year’s line is now moving away from 1994’s cumulative rainfall… Continue reading South Africa Drought and Climate October 2017