Good rains have occurred in the northern part of the region while drought conditions continue in the south. This has allowed dam levels to increase rapidly in one part of the region while reaching dangerously low levels in other parts. Columbia University’s International Research Institute for Climate and Society reports that mid March conditions in… Continue reading Southern Africa Climate, Outlook and Dam Levels
Various countries have implemented minimum wage legislation with a sufficient degree of success to justify it becoming established policy. But South Africa with its very high unemployment rate (especially when judged on the broader definition, which includes those who have abandoned looking for work) and lack of skills is not an obvious candidate. The concern… Continue reading A Minimum Wage in South Africa
There has been wall to wall commentary on both Trump and Zuma but very little on the similarities between the two (though since starting to look at this I have seen that Eusebius McKaiser has come in for some strident criticisms over related remarks which I did not see). The similarities are quite striking though.… Continue reading Trump, a Zuma clone?
Widespread rain and flooding and frequent severe storm warnings can lead to the conclusion that the Southern Africa drought is rapidly coming to an end. This is however not necessarily the case especially in the winter rainfall areas of the country. The following table indicating current dam levels as a % of full capacity illustrates… Continue reading Southern Africa Drought #4
As the Pacific sea surface temperature anomaly weakened from its strong positive number scientists became less confident about future trends with forecasts subject to more than the normal variation month to month. On 8 December the International Research Institute for Climate and Society at Columbia University’s Earth institute (IRI) reported that the anomaly was -0.5°C,… Continue reading Southern Africa Drought #3
There has been speculation that the El Niño phenomenon, believed to have caused the drought in Southern Africa, would be succeeded by a significant La Niña phenomenon, which generally indicates a wetter spell. However the following graph from the International Research Institute (IRI) at Columbia University’s Earth Institute in New York reproduced below is less… Continue reading Southern Africa Drought #2
The world has seen novel approaches to stimulating economies since the crash of almost a decade ago and yet there seems little to show for it. The initial approach was to reduce interest rates as being the traditional way to stimulate growth. In some countries this monetary easing was accompanied, and to a degree offset,… Continue reading The World Economy