Western Cape Drought, Southern Africa Dam Levels January 2018

I have been blogging repeatedly about the Western Cape drought because the crisis has been long looming. Attention is now concentrated on drawing up the plans for when the taps run dry. This article looks at the position of the Southern Africa dams and then at the Western Cape premier's comments on the situation. plus… Continue reading Western Cape Drought, Southern Africa Dam Levels January 2018

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Climate Change Effects #1

In earlier blogs I have speculated on what effect climate change will have on certain weather patterns, in particular whether there will be a poleward shift of systems and what will be the impact on the tropical Pacific and associated El Niño and La Niña phenomena – will global warming cause El Niños to predominate,… Continue reading Climate Change Effects #1

El Niño, La Niña and Climate Change December 2017

The latest forecast from The International Research Institute (IRI) for Climate and Society at Columbia University’s Earth Institute is initially startling compared to the one from two months ago in that it applies a 98% probability to an ongoing La Niña situation for the Nov-Dec-Jan period, with a neutral situation only becoming the most likely situation… Continue reading El Niño, La Niña and Climate Change December 2017

South Africa Drought and Climate October 2017

The Western Cape water crisis continues unabated. The following graph indicates how this year’s rainfall (red line) is now trending well below that of 2016 (purple line), with 1994 (lowest feint blue line) being the only year where the plot approximates 2016 or 2017. This year’s line is now moving away from 1994’s cumulative rainfall… Continue reading South Africa Drought and Climate October 2017