South Africa Drought and Climate October 2017

The Western Cape water crisis continues unabated. The following graph indicates how this year’s rainfall (red line) is now trending well below that of 2016 (purple line), with 1994 (lowest feint blue line) being the only year where the plot approximates 2016 or 2017. This year’s line is now moving away from 1994’s cumulative rainfall… Continue reading South Africa Drought and Climate October 2017


Climate Change Update October 2017

When I wrote on the Paris accord I expressed grave doubts that the various countries would honour their commitments let alone produce the further emission savings which would be found necessary when these commitments had all been analysed. Studies had shown that the maximum CO2 emissions compatible with limiting global warming to 1.5°C from 1870… Continue reading Climate Change Update October 2017

Southern Africa Drought, Dam Levels, Outlook August 2017

My 23 June blog on this topic emphasised that despite the decline in the El Niño there was little indication of a La Niña developing (except for the forecast of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography of the University of California, San Diego). In its July update the International Research Institute for Climate and Society of… Continue reading Southern Africa Drought, Dam Levels, Outlook August 2017